Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.008508 0.009994 0.011774 0.014101 0.017112 0.020955 2.636194e-02
2025-09-28 0.006797 0.008628 0.011085 0.014752 0.020329 0.028958 4.443921e-02
2025-10-05 0.006058 0.008121 0.011130 0.016107 0.024762 0.040739 7.764413e-02
2025-10-12 0.005392 0.007514 0.010801 0.016683 0.028088 0.052674 1.258040e-01
2025-10-19 0.004751 0.006805 0.010125 0.016421 0.029704 0.062286 1.852435e-01
2025-10-26 0.004323 0.006347 0.009750 0.016568 0.032204 0.076144 2.967870e-01
2025-11-02 0.003916 0.005858 0.009224 0.016267 0.033557 0.088249 4.539831e-01
2025-11-09 0.003491 0.005285 0.008453 0.015271 0.032782 0.092933 5.975623e-01
2025-11-16 0.003159 0.004834 0.007846 0.014498 0.032336 0.098838 8.175432e-01
2025-11-23 0.002983 0.004637 0.007688 0.014690 0.034738 0.119940 1.613369e+00
2025-11-30 0.002779 0.004366 0.007349 0.014387 0.035536 0.135110 2.942125e+00
2025-12-07 0.002571 0.004072 0.006927 0.013802 0.035205 0.144219 4.979330e+00
2025-12-14 0.002417 0.003877 0.006717 0.013793 0.037237 0.175389 2.066573e+01
2025-12-21 0.002328 0.003799 0.006744 0.014426 0.042198 0.246763 2.035958e+06
2025-12-28 0.002295 0.003823 0.006990 0.015738 0.051196 0.416018 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002211 0.003734 0.006972 0.016296 0.057502 0.626956 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002085 0.003551 0.006712 0.016042 0.059530 0.796969 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001994 0.003431 0.006585 0.016185 0.064109 1.157654 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001889 0.003272 0.006344 0.015894 0.065910 1.509660 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001759 0.003052 0.005931 0.014928 0.062619 1.528295 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001650 0.002869 0.005596 0.014179 0.060466 1.622780 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001595 0.002798 0.005529 0.014365 0.065234 2.619982 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001522 0.002682 0.005340 0.014072 0.066262 3.484412 NaN